Risk and decision analysis provide frameworks for discovery and application to help society manage current and future climate risks and opportunities.

Our goals:

  • Integrate climate science, impact science, and risk assessment into a climate adaptation science strategy
  • Pursue science questions at the climate-resource-society interface
  • Better assess climate risk and vulnerabilities----especially with the goal of strengthening the ¬†quantification of climate risk and analysis of adaptation options
  • Inform decisions to reduce losses and take opportunities in a variable climate


Project Lead

A changing environment offers risk and opportunity. We explore ways to use weather and climate information, from short-term weather forecasts to long-term climate projects, to make better adaptation decisions.

Project Lead

We developed the Drought, Ranching, and Insurance Response (DRIR) model as the enterprise calculator of a decision tool for applying sub-seasonal forage forecasts to range livestock grazing management.

Project Lead

The Climate Coupling project seeks to measure the strength of coupling between climate drivers and social-environmental systems and to explain those measurements as a function of management interventions.

Project Lead

Chelsea Nagy

Earth Lab


The combination of invasive species and climate change creates unique challenges for natural resource managers. We are developing a network of experts to produce useful and usable science to protect native systems and enhance resilience in the North Central region (CO, WY, KS, NE, SD, ND, MT).

Recent Work

Team Members