Natural Hazards and Risk

We explore the underlying drivers of disturbance, natural hazards that ensue, and extreme events that have consequences to landscapes, ecosystems, and society.

Extreme droughts, fires, and floods are among the greatest geohazards the U.S. faces each year. Further, these events interact with each other, creating multiplier effects about which the scientific community knows very little. Evidence suggests that the frequency of extremes has increased over recent decades, particularly for climate extremes and large fires, making the ability to predict, and understanding the pattern of coupled extremes imperative. Earth observations from the past three decades now provide sufficient data across temporal and spatial scales to explore questions about how rare, extreme events interact. 

A better understanding of disturbance interactions and how they lead to extreme events will increase our capacity to predict and respond to these events, improving societal resilience and mitigating associated costs. 

Projects

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If you’re like us and you love studying fire ecology, you know that there are many satellite-derived datasets to choose from, but the collection is not easily combined and a steep learning curve exists. That’s where FIRED (Fire Events Delineation) comes in.

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New research extending the utility of the PODs process before, during, and after a fire

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This project develops new methods to quantify how wildfire and prescribed fire affect public land visitation at a landscape scale across Colorado and California.

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This project examines how wildfire spread interacts with patterns of human development across the western United States.

Featured Blogs

Completed Projects

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Earth Lab takes a collaborative, big-data approach to answering some of our most pressing questions related to fire. We seek to understand what controls fire in the landscape, how fire is changing, and what this means for society.

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A changing environment offers risk and opportunity. We explore ways to use weather and climate information, from short-term weather forecasts to long-term climate projects, to make better adaptation decisions.

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Damage from natural hazards is increasing despite the growing ability of the geo-sciences to delineate where and when extreme events will occur. We show that decades of risky development has increased exposure to the most damaging natural hazards.

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We developed the Drought, Ranching, and Insurance Response (DRIR) model as the enterprise calculator of a decision tool for applying sub-seasonal forage forecasts to range livestock grazing management.

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Environmentally, what is extreme? What can we do to mitigate their impacts? Our research aims to answer these questions and brings an interdisciplinary, big-data perspective to risk assessment.

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The Climate Coupling project seeks to measure the strength of coupling between climate drivers and social-environmental systems and to explain those measurements as a function of management interventions.

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Michael Koontz

Vibrant Planet

The core activity of this project is to use such a finer-time-scale analysis to identify the fuels, weather, and/or firefighting resources conditions associated with rapid fire growth.